[UAV] Crypto Cycle Monitor
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Core SPY plus a tactical sleeve that flips daily between T‑bills, risk‑on equities, or Bitcoin‑linked names based on simple recent‑strength checks (RSI). When crypto leads, it picks the fastest crypto names; otherwise it favors low‑vol/rising‑rates plays.
Keeps a core in SPY (S&P 500). A sidecar switches using a simple strength score (RSI = recent gains vs losses). If the broad US market (VTI) looks overheated, it parks that sidecar in BIL (T‑bills). Otherwise it compares Coinbase (COIN) vs Nasdaq (NDAQ): if COIN is stronger, it rotates into Bitcoin plays (best recent from GBTC/CONL/MSTR, best miner from HUT/WGMI/RIOT, + MSTR). If not, it holds SPGI, TMV (inverse long‑term Treasuries), and SVXY (short VIX). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample: 28.36% annualized return vs SPY 18.46%, Sharpe ~0.99, Calmar ~1.08. Core SPY with a crypto/tactical sleeve targets higher upside with disciplined risk—though drawdowns can be larger in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 1.26 | 0.38 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.18% | 16.38% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.01 | |
| 384.18% | 56.06% | -1.95% | -0.66% | 1.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$48,417.66Regulatory Fees
$106.69
Total Slippage
$584.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, tactical allocation, crypto-linked equities, s&p 500 core, leveraged/inverse etfs, daily rebalancing, risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
NDAQ
Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks