Tweaked BTC Roths Dynamic - Momentum + Mean Reversion
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Each week, own 5 picks: the 3 strongest recent performers and the 2 most “oversold” from a Bitcoin‑sensitive stock/ETF list. Equal weight. BIL/STIP serve as cash‑like options. Extra plan: exit or short for ~1 year starting around Nov‑2025.
Universe: MSTR, COIN, and bitcoin miners (MARA, HUT, BITF, RIOT) plus cash‑like ETFs BIL (T‑bills) and STIP (short TIPS).
Weekly: pick 3 with best ~1‑month trend (moving‑average return), and 2 that look most “oversold” over ~10 days (low RSI = recent fast drop). Split money equally. Plan says exit/short for ~1 year around Nov‑2025.
Out-of-sample edge: ~45% annualized return vs S&P ~21%, with Calmar ~0.87 and Sharpe ~0.88. Crypto-proxy diversification plus cash ballast, weekly momentum and mean-reversion. Accept higher drawdowns (~52%) for outsized upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 2.36 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.45% | 13.1% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.81 | |
| 158.92% | 21.95% | 10.97% | -13.63% | 0.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,892.23Regulatory Fees
$51.35
Total Slippage
$215.66
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 12, 2023
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto proxies, momentum, mean reversion, weekly, tactical rotation, bitcoin-sensitive equities, t-bills/tips, long-only + cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks