Tweaked BTC Roths Dynamic - Momentum + Mean Reversion
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A weekly strategy focused on Bitcoin-related stocks. Half the money chases recent winners; the other half buys recent losers for a rebound, with limited ability to hide in very short-term bond funds.
Each week, the strategy splits money into 2 equal buckets.
• Bucket 1 buys the 3 strongest recent performers over the last month among Bitcoin-related stocks, plus a cash-like Treasury fund if it’s acting stronger.
• Bucket 2 buys the 2 most recently beaten-down names over the last 10 days, betting on a bounce.
This mixes “ride the winners” with “buy the dip,” but mostly in very volatile crypto-linked stocks.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~50% vs SPY ~34%; Calmar ~1.65 with cash/bond hedges for risk control. But oos max drawdown ~30% vs ~5% SPY. Weekly rebalance targets crypto-adjacent strength and dip-buy upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 2.38 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105.21% | 14.16% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.88 | |
| 196.27% | 22.15% | -25.57% | -8.06% | 0.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,627.40Regulatory Fees
$61.16
Total Slippage
$279.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 6, 2026
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto-adjacent equities, momentum, mean reversion, weekly rebalance, tactical allocation, concentrated, defensive overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
KEEL
Keel Infrastructure Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks