Tweaked BTC Roths Dynamic - Momentum + Mean Reversion
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A weekly momentum+mean-reversion strategy: go long the 3 strongest 21-day movers from crypto-linked names, short the 2 weakest 10-day RSI names, with equal-weight sizing, and a planned exit/short around late 2025 for about a year before reinvesting.
- Every week, scan a fixed list of crypto-linked stocks and two bond proxies.
- Step 1: Pick the 3 assets with the strongest 21-day price gain and go long (buy).
- Step 2: Pick the 2 assets with the lowest 10-day RSI and go short (borrow and sell).
- Allocate equal money to each active position (3 long, 2 short) and hold cash as needed.
- Near November 2025, close the long bets and switch to a one-year short, then reinvest afterward.
- The universe includes MSTR, COIN, MARA, HUT, BITF, RIOT, BIL, and STIP as applicable; BIL is a cash-like candidate in the long screen, STIP extends diversification in the short screen.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~45% vs S&P ~21%, driven by weekly momentum/mean-reversion on crypto-linked names. Higher upside with crypto diversification via bond proxies, but expect higher drawdowns (~52%) than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 2.36 | 0.29 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.68% | 12.51% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 150.46% | 20.94% | 6.83% | -2.57% | 0.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,045.79Regulatory Fees
$52.05
Total Slippage
$217.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 12, 2023
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Long/short equity, crypto-exposed, momentum, mean-reversion, weekly rebalance, predefined exit 2025
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks