Tweaked BTC Roths Dynamic - Momentum + Mean Reversion
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A weekly crypto‑stock strategy that mixes trend‑following (buy recent winners) with dip‑buying (buy recent sell‑offs), can park in Treasury ETFs when weak, and plans to exit/short from about Nov 2025 to Nov 2026 before resuming.
Each week: 1) Rank the list by roughly 1‑month price trend and buy the top 3 (momentum). 2) Rank by recent selling pressure (10‑day RSI) and buy the 2 most sold‑off (mean reversion). Equal‑weight the combined picks. If crypto names look weak, it can park in T‑bill/TIPS ETFs (BIL/STIP). Around Nov 2025, move to cash/short for ~1 year, then resume.
Out-of-sample edge: ~45% annualized return vs SPY ~21%, from crypto-beta momentum and dip-buying with Treasuries ballast. Expect higher drawdowns (~52%), but weekly rebalances and a 2025–26 overlay help balance growth and risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 2.36 | 0.29 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.68% | 12.51% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 150.46% | 20.94% | 6.83% | -2.57% | 0.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,045.79Regulatory Fees
$52.05
Total Slippage
$217.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 12, 2023
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto equities, bitcoin beta, momentum, mean reversion, weekly rebalance, tactical allocation, defensive treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks