Trends - Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Trend-first, risk-on/risk-off ETF rotation: buy QQQ in healthy uptrends, switch to PSQ on extreme fear, hide in bonds or dollar/short-term cash when trends weaken, and briefly hedge with UVXY when tech looks overheated.
1) If a 3x tech fund (TQQQ) looks overheated (RSI>79; RSI is a 0–100 heat gauge), buy a volatility hedge (UVXY; jumps when stocks fall).
2) Else check SPY (S&P 500). If recent worst drop is smaller than earlier and price is above its 200‑day average (uptrend), hold QQQ (big tech)—unless fear spikes (VIXY RSI>84), then use PSQ (short QQQ).
3) If not above the 200‑day, sit in UUP (USD), GSY or VCSH (short‑term bonds). If drops are worsening, hold TLT (long Treasuries).
Adaptive trend-first ETF rotation with risk-on/off hedges offers diversification and potential downside protection versus the S&P 500. Out-of-sample: Sharpe ~0.87, annualized return ~13.6%, max drawdown ~19.1%, beta ~0.55, Calmar ~0.71.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 22,943.77% | 45.84% | 0.33% | 0.61% | 1.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,304,377.12Regulatory Fees
$2,812.84
Total Slippage
$18,879.81
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following, tactical etf rotation, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge, defensive bonds, cash alternatives
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GSY
Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VCSH
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks