Trending Alternatives (SMA Gate & Credit Canary)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, risk-on/risk-off portfolio. It rides uptrends in U.S. and EM stocks (often tech‑tilted), but when markets get stretched or weaken it rotates to hedges: cash/Treasuries, gold, USD, managed futures (KMLM), market‑neutral (BTAL), and volatility.
It starts with a “credit canary” (junk vs quality bonds). If risk-on and indexes sit above their 200‑day average (uptrend), it leans into growth (QQQ/tech; sometimes small, leveraged tilts). If markets look overheated (RSI high) or fall below trend, it shifts to hedges: cash/T‑Bills, Treasuries, BTAL (market‑neutral), KMLM (managed futures), gold, USD, or VIXY. RSI=0–100 “heat” gauge; MAs=trend. KMLM diversifies in crises; BTAL benefits when risky stocks drop; VIXY hedges spikes.
Benefits vs the S&P: much higher out-of-sample Sharpe (5.21 vs 1.15), far higher outsized returns (~53.7% vs 14.2%), and much smaller drawdowns (1.92% vs 5.07%), with low beta (~0.22). A crisis-tested, diversified strategy.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.12 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.47% | 11.65% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.72 | |
| 374.03% | 41.14% | 2.16% | 9.66% | 2.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$47,402.86Regulatory Fees
$176.10
Total Slippage
$1,034.30
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, trend/momentum, risk-on/off, volatility hedging, managed futures, commodities, defensive rotation, levered tech tilts
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 124 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AIA
iShares Asia 50 ETF
Stocks
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Stocks
BGX
Blackstone Long-Short Credit Income Fund
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
BOND
PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks