Translating Average Length of DD on QQQ from Tradingview to Composer
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, cash-buffered, rule-based rotation between TECL (tech leverage), SQQQ (bear Nasdaq), SPHD, or XLP, chosen by trend and momentum tests, with equal-weighting across the selected assets and BIL as cash.
- Daily rebalance. Start with cash as a stabilizer (BIL).
- First test: compare SPY’s current price to its 200-day moving average. If the market is in an uptrend (price above the 200-day average), proceed to the next check; otherwise, follow the alternate path.
- If in uptrend, check TECL condition: look at the 10-day RSI of TQQQ. If RSI(10) < 31 (an oversold signal on the leveraged tech instrument), buy TECL (a 3x tech exposure).
- If the TECL condition isn’t met, check another rule: look at QQQ’s performance over 70 days. If cumulative return is less than -15.5% (the Nasdaq has fallen enough), buy SQQQ (an inverse Nasdaq ETF intended to profit when QQQ falls).
- If neither TECL nor SQQQ rules fire, fall back to a defensive rotation: among SPHD (high-dividend, low-volatility) and XLP (consumer staples), pick the one with the lower RSI over the last 20 days (the “more oversold” one) and allocate to it.
- Weighting: split capital evenly among all assets currently in the active set, including BIL for cash.
- Outcome focus: a simple, transparent rotation between a bullish tech levered play, a Nasdaq hedge, and defensive staples, with cash always present to limit risk.
Disciplined, daily rule-based rotation with a cash buffer. In uptrends, tilt to TECL; in downturns, hedge with SQQQ; otherwise rotate defensives SPHD/XLP. Out-of-sample: ~19.2% annualized return with Calmar ~0.82, offering diversification vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | -0.08 | 0 | -0.04 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506.61% | 14.53% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.89 | |
| 21,893.58% | 50.05% | 0.26% | 0.86% | 1.23 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,199,357.72Regulatory Fees
$2,242.90
Total Slippage
$14,504.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 18, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical-asset-allocation, leverage, sector-rotation, trend-following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPHD
Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks