[TRACK] v1.1 TQQQ or Safety Town All Shared Versions | BlackSwan MeanRev BondSignal
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A rule-based system that aggressively buys leveraged Nasdaq when conditions look favorable, but switches to a complex defensive basket when markets appear overheated, crashing, or unstable.
This strategy usually tries to own TQQQ, a fund that aims to deliver about 3x the daily move of the Nasdaq-100.
It first checks for danger: if the market looks overheated or is crashing, it switches into volatility hedges and defensive funds. If the market looks merely beaten up, it buys for a rebound. If the trend is healthy, it stays in TQQQ. If trend and bond signals look weak, it moves into a “Safety Town” basket of gold, short-term bonds, dollar, managed futures, and volatility-related funds.
Dynamic Nasdaq-leverage with crash hedges and a Safety Town defense. Out-of-sample: ~17.8% annualized return over 1022 days, using regime-switching to capture Nasdaq upside and defensive diversification during stress. A strategic complement to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 1.88 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115.19% | 22.36% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 1.43 | |
| 356.11% | 49.12% | -6.97% | 3.5% | 1.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$45,611.07Regulatory Fees
$182.62
Total Slippage
$1,296.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Market timing, tactical allocation, leveraged equities, volatility hedging, defensive rotation, nasdaq, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOXX
Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks