(T)QQQ/PSQ w/ Dividends
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A regime-rotating, Nasdaq-centric, rule-based strategy that leans on QQQ/levered/QQQ hedges plus a dividend ETF (JEPQ). Daily rebalance uses RSI/momentum filters to pick a single main holding (often leveraging Nasdaq exposure) with hedges, and a dividend anchor, aiming for upside in favorable regimes and risk-off protection when conditions deteriorate.
- It rebalances every day, using a decision tree of market regimes to choose a single instrument (or a tightly grouped set) to hold.
- The main candidates rotate among QQQ-related products (QQQ, TQQQ, SOXL, SQQQ, PSQ) and a dividend-focused ETF (JEPQ), plus hedges/bonds/volatility tools (TMV, TMF, TLT, IEF, BIL, UVXY, SPXU, UUP).
- Market regimes are defined by simple checks (e.g., overbought or oversold readings, momentum via moving averages, and price relationships to SPY). Examples:
• Overbought S&P: favors buying JEPQ (dividend income) while defending against run-ups in tech by using a bottom-ranked RSI signal to pick a candidate.
• Bear market / high inflation: leans into Nasdaq hedges and LETF baskets (e.g., TQQQ, SQQQ, PSQ) depending on RSI and momentum signals.
• Defense/Modified: emphasizes defensive exposure through JEPQ and related hedges.
• Risk-off / rising rates: uses TMV (bearish on long-duration bonds) and related hedges to reduce equity exposure.
• Risk-on / falling rates: may favor long-dated leveraged assets (TMF-like exposure) and selective Nasdaq bets.
- Weighting is typically 100% into the selected asset (the framework shows “weight 100/100,” sometimes with a percentage-based weight method). “wt-cash-equal” indicates cash-like allocation logic within the decision blocks.
- The dividend angle comes from including JEPQ, which provides yield via an income strategy embedded in a Nasdaq premium-income ETF.
- The overall aim is to capture upside in Nasdaq tech with leverage when regimes look favorable, while adding hedges and income when conditions look riskier.
- Caveats: high complexity, reliance on numerous ETFs with leveraged and inverse exposures, and daily turnover can amplify risk and costs. This is a regime-rotating, tilt-toward-Nasdaq framework with a dividend anchor, not a simple buy-and-hold or classic indicator system.
Regime-rotating Nasdaq strategy with a dividend anchor (JEPQ) and hedges. Out-of-sample annualized return ~36% vs ~25% for the S&P; Calmar ~1.54. Seeks higher upside with risk controls via daily regime checks and selective leverage.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, rule-based, nasdaq-100 focused, dividend income, volatility hedges, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
JEPQ
J.P. Morgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks