TQQQ vs PSQ
Today’s Change (Apr 5, 2026)
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About
Tactical switcher on the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100: flips between bullish TQQQ and bearish PSQ by comparing bond (IEF) vs inverse‑Nasdaq momentum (RSI). Then picks how aggressive based on the mix that just pulled back most. High risk.
Tickers: TQQQ = 3x up bet on the Nasdaq‑100 (big tech). PSQ = 1x inverse of the Nasdaq‑100 (rises when it falls). IEF = 7–10yr U.S. Treasuries. RSI = a 0–100 score of recent ups vs downs.
Each period: compare 10‑day RSI of IEF to 20‑day RSI of PSQ. If IEF>PSQ, pick a TQQQ‑heavy mix; else a PSQ‑heavy mix. From four preset mixes (incl. 100% TQQQ or 100% PSQ), choose the one with the lowest 5‑day RSI and invest 100% there. Trade only if the pick changes or drifts >1%.
Out-of-sample upside: ~66% annualized vs ~24% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.37 and Sharpe ~1.36. RSI-driven regime switching between leveraged Nasdaq (TQQQ) and inverse Nasdaq (PSQ) aims to beat the S&P; drawdowns can be larger in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 1.87 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 688.73% | 13.69% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.83 | |
| 69,395.38% | 50.18% | 3.4% | -2.39% | 1.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,949,537.89Regulatory Fees
$12,853.79
Total Slippage
$79,763.13
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, nasdaq-100, leveraged etf, inverse etf, momentum (rsi), mean reversion, regime switching, high risk