TQQQ Trend + RSI v2 ✩
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based switcher: ride Nasdaq‑100 uptrends with TQQQ; rotate to defensive Utilities/Staples (XLU/XLP) when overheated or weak; flip to UVXY on extreme heat and to TQQQ on deep dips. QQQ = Nasdaq‑100, TQQQ = 3×, UVXY = volatility.
Daily checks.
- If TQQQ’s 5‑day RSI > 80 (RSI = 0–100 gauge of recent speed; high = hot, low = cold) → hold UVXY (tends to jump when fear/vol spikes).
- Else use trend: if QQQ > its 50‑day average, hold TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100) unless RSI14 > 70, then hold the weaker of XLU/XLP (defensive Utilities/Staples). If QQQ < 50‑day, hold that weaker defensive unless TQQQ’s RSI10 < 30, then buy TQQQ for a bounce.
Out-of-sample results lag the S&P: -31.6% annualized return, deep drawdowns, negative Calmar. This is a high-risk tactical sleeve, not a core allocation. Use only as a crisis hedge/diversifier with strict risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.72 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 800,125.47% | 86.82% | 7.13% | -8.65% | 1.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$80,022,547.33Regulatory Fees
$180,049.80
Total Slippage
$1,273,254.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean reversion, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total