TQQQ Trend + RSI v2 ✩
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, TQQQ-centered strategy using RSI and a 50-day MA trend check to guide a mix of leveraged equity exposure, volatility hedging (UVXY), and defensive sector tilts (XLU/XLP), with cash as a fallback when signals aren’t clear.
- Core exposure is TQQQ, the 3x Nasdaq-100 ETF. Every day the system checks signals and bets on where to allocate capital.
- It uses RSI (a momentum gauge) on a short window (5 days) to decide if TQQQ is extremely overbought (RSI > 80). If so, it brings in UVXY (a volatility hedging instrument) as a way to protect or profit from rising volatility.
- It also looks at whether the price of QQQ is above its 50-day moving average (a basic trend check). If price is above and the RSI conditions suggest rising momentum, the strategy may tilt toward a “Bull” setup that rotates into one of two defensive sectors (XLU utilities or XLP consumer staples) based on a ranking that uses RSI with a longer lookback (14 days) to pick the weaker among them. The intent is to own a defensive sector that still has some momentum, preserving upside while managing risk.
- If the primary momentum is weak (Bear pathway), or if other risk signals trigger, the strategy considers a different rotation that may again choose between XLU and XLP guided by RSIs, but with a tilt aligned to risk-off behavior.
- There is a cash-equal weighting option when signals aren’t strong enough to justify a full equity position.
- The plan also references a demonstrable rule around the MAs and RSI thresholds to decide when to hold or switch exposure, rather than relying on a single indicator.
- Overall, it’s a mix of trend-following (levered equity), volatility hedging, and lightweight sector rotation, rebalance daily.
An aggressive tactical overlay to SPY using daily TQQQ leverage, UVXY hedges, and RSI/MA signals. The OOS data show underperformance and larger drawdowns vs SPY, so it’s best as a disciplined satellite to diversify risk—not a core replacement.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.72 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 777,539.95% | 86.16% | -7.22% | -4.23% | 1.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$77,763,994.50Regulatory Fees
$180,049.80
Total Slippage
$1,273,254.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, leveraged etfs, momentum, rsi-based signals, sector rotation, hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total