TQQQ RSI Strategy
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, rule-based tech-focused strategy that uses TQQQ as the core, withTECL for extra bullish tilt, SQQQ and UVXY as hedges, and SHV as cash safety. It blends RSI, momentum, volatility, and a 50/200-day trend filter to rotate among these ETFs, aiming to ride tech strength but reduce risk during choppier or overheated markets.
- The strategy trades primarily TQQQ, a 3x levered bet on the tech-heavy NASDAQ-100. It can also hold TECL (another 3x tech bull), SQQQ (3x inverse on QQQ), UVXY (volatility exposure), and SHV (a cash-like safe asset).
- It rebalances every day, choosing one or more of these assets based on a sequence of rules that look at momentum, recent returns, volatility, and trend direction.
- Short-term momentum and overbought/oversold signals are driven by RSI (a measure of how quickly prices rose or fell recently) and very short-term price changes. When RSI on TQQQ is very low, the system may tilt toward TECL (to stay growth-focused) and may hedge with SQQQ if other conditions also point to risk or oversold conditions. When RSI is very high, or when a one-day jump was exceptionally large, it tends to move toward hedging assets (SQQQ or UVXY) or toward safety (SHV).
- A trend filter uses 50-day and 200-day moving averages on TQQQ. If the 50-day average is above the 200-day average (a positive trend), the strategy tends to stay in or increase exposure to the tech-levered bets. If the 50-day is below the 200-day, the model shifts toward safety (SHV) or hedges (SQQQ, UVXY).
- The plan explicitly includes a safety cushion: SHV acts as cash-like exposure to reduce risk when the signals aren’t favorable.
- In plain terms: it’s a disciplined rule-based approach that tries to ride tech strength with leverage when the market looks healthy, but jump to hedges or cash when signals indicate trouble or excessive risk. It’s not a simple buy-and-hold tech bet; it’s a daily-rotating mix designed to chase upside while trying to cap downside, using a handful of specialized ETFs to do so.
Out-of-sample, this rule-based tech-rotation targets higher upside with risk controls: ~44% annualized vs SPY ~22%, Calmar ~1.89, Sharpe ~1.08. Hedging and cash safety aim to outperform the S&P with managed risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum/rsi signals, trend-following ma filter, hedge/volatility signals, tactical rotation, tech sector
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total