TQQQ or SHNY? (Multiple Algos)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A regime-aware rotation strategy that mostly trades highly-leveraged bets (notably TQQQ and SHNY) plus hedges (SPY, UVXY, TLT/TMF, etc.). It uses multiple momentum and trend signals (RSI, moving averages, cumulative returns) across several time horizons to pick the top candidate each day and size it heavily (often full weight). It also includes defense/risk-off paths (favoring TMF, SHNY, or other hedges) when signals indicate risk is rising. In short: daily decision rules pick the strongest levered exposure to ride big moves, with built-in hedges to guard against downturns.
- The system looks at a pool of assets, prioritizing aggressive, leveraged bets (especially on tech via TQQQ) and defense hedges (like gold SHNY or treasury-based TMF).
- It computes simple momentum and trend measures for each asset, such as: current price vs. moving averages, short- and medium-term momentum (via RSI and return measures), and recent performance (cumulative returns).
- Based on these signals, the algorithm ranks assets and selects the best candidate (often the single top asset) to hold, assigning a full weight (100/100) to that candidate. In some branches it may choose a small group (like a top 1 or top few) or even rotate into defense baskets.
- It has explicit “Defensive” and “Risk Off” scenarios that favor less risky or hedged exposures (e.g., TMF, UVXY as hedges, SHNY as a diversification/defense exposure) when certain RSI or trend conditions are met.
- Signals come from multiple windows (e.g., 10-day RSI, 200-day moving averages, 60- or 210- or 360-day lookbacks) to avoid reacting to a single-day blip. It also uses comparisons like RSI below a threshold (oversold) or price above/below moving averages to gauge trend strength or weakness.
- The strategy is rebalance-ish on a daily cadence, with many branches designed to pick the best-performing levered instrument given the current regime, then adjust as conditions change. The intent is to participate in upside with leverage when momentum is favorable, while stepping into hedges or safer plays when signals flip to risk-off. It’s not a simple, static allocation; it’s a complex, regime-aware rotation among a curated set of assets.
Out-of-sample, this regime-based rotation delivers superior risk-adjusted returns versus the S&P: Sharpe ~2.87 vs 1.05, alpha ~1.12, Calmar ~15.5, by riding momentum in leveraged bets while using hedges to defend capital.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.93% | 20.4% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.31 | |
| 2,674.43% | 201.41% | -4.32% | 49.78% | 2.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$277,443.12Regulatory Fees
$382.52
Total Slippage
$1,743.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, multi-factor, risk management, rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks