TQQQ or SH? Expanded RSI Strategy
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, RSI-driven ladder between SH (short S&P 500) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) using four RSI windows to tilt Nasdaq exposure as momentum moves from extreme highs toward less extreme readings.
Two ETFs are used: SH (short S&P 500) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). The system computes RSI on QQQ using several windows (10d, 21d, 130d, 252d). For each window, it checks if RSI(QQQ) is above a high threshold (near 99) and, if so, assigns a very large SH and tiny Nasdaq tilt (e.g., 99% SH / 1% TQQQ). If RSI(QQQ) is below that threshold, it ramps up Nasdaq exposure in 1% steps while reducing SH, creating a ladder of allocations. This ladder exists at each timeframe (10d, 21d, 130d, 252d) and the four ladders are combined to form the final daily allocation, which is rebalanced every trading day. The result is a highly directional, momentum-tilted posture that hedges broad-market risk with SH while opportunistically leveraging Nasdaq strength with TQQQ as momentum signals permit.
Out-of-sample return ~22.95% vs ~17.30% for the S&P, with Calmar ~4.8, signaling strong risk-adjusted upside. RSI-driven Nasdaq tilt plus SH hedge aims for higher long-run growth with disciplined risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 1.2 | 0.76 | 0.87 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 1,742.77% | 19.89% | 2.08% | 2.59% | 0.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$184,277.21Regulatory Fees
$379.73
Total Slippage
$1,405.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 26, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, rsi-based tactical allocation, multi-timeframe momentum, nasdaq vs. s&p hedged approach