TQQQ or not/Pop + Volatility checks
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-timing strategy that tries to ride leveraged Nasdaq gains with TQQQ, switch to UVXY when markets look dangerously overheated, and move to cash-like BIL when trends or risk signals turn negative.
This strategy usually wants to hold TQQQ, a very aggressive fund that magnifies moves in the Nasdaq-100.
But first it runs many short-term “too hot / too risky” checks across tech, the S&P 500, value, growth, and sectors. If markets look overheated, it switches to UVXY, a fund that tends to rise when market fear spikes.
If markets look weak or unstable, it hides in BIL, a cash-like Treasury bill fund. If tech is in a healthy uptrend—or deeply oversold and likely to bounce—it buys TQQQ.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~62% vs S&P ~16.7%, with Sharpe ~1.09 and Calmar ~1.57. Drawdowns can be larger (~40%), but UVXY/BIL hedges aim to protect downside and unlock upside in volatility-driven regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 0.69 | 0.04 | 0.2 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.17% | 14.46% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.9 | |
| 1,012,553,241.43% | 203.81% | -7.4% | 3.74% | 2.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$101,255,334,143.08Regulatory Fees
$244,138,418.93
Total Slippage
$2,356,211,001.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged nasdaq, volatility timing, risk-on/risk-off, mean reversion, trend following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks