TQQQ or Not? (zoop's No K-1 Edit)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A high-risk timing strategy that mainly swings between leveraged Nasdaq exposure, cash-like Treasury bills, and occasional volatility or semiconductor bets based on recent market strength, weakness, and stress signals.
This strategy usually asks one question: “Is it safe to aggressively bet on big U.S. tech stocks right now?”
If yes, it buys TQQQ, a fund that tries to triple the daily move of the Nasdaq-100. If tech looks badly shaken, it often moves to BIL, a very short-term Treasury fund that acts like a cash parking spot. In rare cases, it buys VXX, which rises when market fear jumps, or SOXL, a high-risk semiconductor fund, after a sharp tech selloff when it expects a rebound.
Out-of-sample shows ~46% annualized return vs ~17% for SPY, with Calmar ~1.43, indicating strong risk-adjusted gains. It targets tech rallies with leveraged Nasdaq bets and shifts to cash/volatility hedges when stress rises.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | 1.26 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216.26% | 14.08% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.79 | |
| 1,424,824.8% | 198.79% | -4.75% | 21.41% | 2.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$142,492,480.24Regulatory Fees
$323,665.93
Total Slippage
$3,095,988.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, nasdaq, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks