TQQQ or not | Xtreme Degen
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, high-risk, levered tech tilt (TQQQ) that flips into hedges (LABD) or cash/bonds based on short-term momentum and volatility signals; aims for big upside with quick risk-off switches, but is highly volatile and turnover-heavy.
On every trading day the strategy chooses one asset to hold, from a small set: primarily TQQQ (levered tech), with hedges like LABD (biotech bear 3x), and cash/bond proxies (BIL, TMF, IEF, TLT, etc.). The choice is driven by a nested set of tests. First, it checks if TQQQ looks extremely overbought (10-day RSI > 79). If so, it tends to move into LABD or related hedges. If not, it moves through a “Normal market” or “Huge volatility” branch that weighs short-term performance and risk (e.g., cumulative returns, max drawdown, standard deviation) to decide whether to stay in tech exposure or shift toward cash/bonds. A separate “Mean Rev” pathway uses shorter-term RSI (e.g., RSI(TQQQ, 10d) < 32) and other signals to rebalance toward TQQQ when conditions imply a potential rebound. There are explicit checks comparing bond proxies (BND, TMF, IEF, TLT) against stock proxies (QQQ, SPY) to drive shifts toward risk-off assets under certain thresholds. The system rebalances daily, and the weights are typically 100% in the chosen asset within a given branch, meaning no partial allocations across multiple assets in a single decision. In practice, the strategy attempts to exploit big upside moves in tech via TQQQ while using LABD and cash/bond proxies to mitigate downside risk during overextended or volatile periods. Because of the use of 3x leveraged ETFs and daily rebalancing, this strategy is extremely aggressive and may incur large drawdowns and rapid turnover.
Leverage-tech upside with hedges. OOS: ~20.7% annualized vs SPY 22.2%; higher drawdown (42% vs 19%); lower risk-adjusted Sharpe (0.63 vs 1.31). Best for risk-tolerant growth seekers needing diversification, not a SPY substitute.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etf, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, mean reversion, volatility targeting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks