TQQQ or not | Xtreme Degen
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily “all‑in or out” system: ride 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) in uptrends or deep pullbacks, hide in T‑Bills (BIL) when volatility/conditions worsen, and rarely make a speculative 3x inverse biotech (LABD) bet during extreme signals.
Each day it owns just one thing: TQQQ (aims for 3x Nasdaq‑100’s daily move), BIL (cash‑like T‑Bills), or—rarely—LABD (3x opposite of biotech).
It buys TQQQ when the Nasdaq is trending up or very washed‑out, moves to BIL when volatility spikes or trend breaks, and in a few “too hot/whiplash” cases takes a short‑biotech punt. Bond moves help green‑light risk.
Leverage Nasdaq upside with a built-in risk-off: 3x exposure when trends are favorable, otherwise cash. Out-of-sample: ~20.7% annualized return, Calmar ~0.49, max drawdown ~42% (vs SPY ~19%). A risk-managed alternative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 1.14 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278.53% | 13.14% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 796,313.32% | 130.05% | -1.65% | -6.11% | 2.01 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$79,641,331.98Regulatory Fees
$247,692.86
Total Slippage
$1,767,354.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, tactical allocation, volatility filter, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks