TQQQ or not Ultimate Collection
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based “TQQQ or not” collection: buy 3x Nasdaq when trend or oversold signals are favorable; otherwise shift to T‑Bills or hedges (UVXY/SQQQ/SOXS). Uses bond-market signals to avoid risk-on during turmoil and includes variants with semis, banks, and a defensive trio.
Runs several TQQQ-or-cash playbooks in parallel and blends them.
- Own TQQQ when trend is up or after sharp, oversold drops.
- If price is too hot, step into hedges (UVXY/SOXS) or T‑Bills.
- If volatility is high or bonds look stressed, move to cash or a mild short (BIL+SQQQ).
- One branch uses DPST; another uses a USD/Gold/Staples safety mix.
Out-of-sample: ~23% annualized return, modestly beating the S&P, powered by adaptive leverage (TQQQ) with hedges and bond signals. Strong upside in rallies, but expect larger drawdowns (about 40%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | 0.85 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311.25% | 14.48% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 3,210,223.49% | 169.77% | -3.3% | -5.93% | 2.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$321,032,349.30Regulatory Fees
$971,053.89
Total Slippage
$6,961,842.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, volatility hedging, sector rotation, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DPST
Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks