TQQQ or Not - Slightly Degenerate Gambler Version -
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk strategy that tries to ride big tech rallies with TQQQ, step into cash when conditions weaken, and use volatility funds during extreme market stress.
This strategy is a daily market timer for TQQQ, a high-risk fund that moves about 3x the Nasdaq-100.
When tech looks healthy, it buys TQQQ. When markets look shaky, it moves to BIL (short-term Treasury bills, a cash-like parking spot). In very extreme conditions, it splits money between BIL and two volatility funds, UVXY and VIXY, which usually jump when markets panic.
It judges conditions using recent price trend, how sharp recent gains/losses were, and whether stocks or bonds look stronger.
Tech-led market-timing with built-in risk-off hedges. Out-of-sample: ~19.9% annualized return (vs SPY 20.5%), plus diversification from cash/bonds and volatility hedges during stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | 1.12 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 5,086,210.08% | 105.79% | -5.91% | 5.4% | 1.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$508,631,007.95Regulatory Fees
$1,446,692.78
Total Slippage
$13,919,585.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, market timing, nasdaq, volatility hedge, risk-off rotation, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks