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TQQQ or Not - Slightly Degenerate Gambler Version -
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily, high‑risk switch between 3x Nasdaq and cash/volatility hedges using momentum, trend, crash, and bond‑vs‑stock signals. Aims to ride rallies and step aside in turmoil; timing‑heavy and volatile.
NutHow it works
Daily switch between: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) to press gains; BIL (T‑Bills) for safety; or a hedge split in BIL/UVXY/VIXY (volatility funds that jump in selloffs). It reads simple gauges: RSI (0–100 “heat” score), quick drops/rebounds, price vs 25‑day average, and bond‑vs‑stock strength using QQQ, SPY, BND, TMF, IEF, TLT. Hot/chaotic → hedge; clear uptrend or washed‑out selloff → TQQQ; shaky → BIL. Exposure: big‑tech, Treasuries, VIX.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: 23.8% annualized return vs S&P 22.2%, with Nasdaq-3x exposure and dynamic hedges designed to ride rallies. Accept higher drawdowns and lower risk-adjusted Sharpe for potential bigger upside.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged, tactical allocation, momentum, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, bonds vs stocks, daily rebalance, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 16.85%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 39.48%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.