TQQQ or Not - Slightly Degenerate Gambler Version -
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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About
A daily, high‑risk switch between 3x Nasdaq and cash/volatility hedges using momentum, trend, crash, and bond‑vs‑stock signals. Aims to ride rallies and step aside in turmoil; timing‑heavy and volatile.
Daily switch between: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) to press gains; BIL (T‑Bills) for safety; or a hedge split in BIL/UVXY/VIXY (volatility funds that jump in selloffs). It reads simple gauges: RSI (0–100 “heat” score), quick drops/rebounds, price vs 25‑day average, and bond‑vs‑stock strength using QQQ, SPY, BND, TMF, IEF, TLT. Hot/chaotic → hedge; clear uptrend or washed‑out selloff → TQQQ; shaky → BIL. Exposure: big‑tech, Treasuries, VIX.
Out-of-sample upside: 23.7% annualized vs 22.2% for the S&P, driven by 3x Nasdaq in uptrends and hedges in turmoil. Higher upside, but with larger drawdowns—suitable for risk-tolerant investors seeking alpha.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | 1.11 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.25% | 15.88% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.96 | |
| 5,311,433.95% | 108.52% | 9.9% | -8.82% | 1.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$531,153,394.72Regulatory Fees
$1,324,429.39
Total Slippage
$12,744,198.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged, tactical allocation, momentum, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, bonds vs stocks, daily rebalance, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks