TQQQ or Not - Slightly Degenerate Gambler Version -
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
A daily, high‑risk switch between 3x Nasdaq and cash/volatility hedges using momentum, trend, crash, and bond‑vs‑stock signals. Aims to ride rallies and step aside in turmoil; timing‑heavy and volatile.
Daily switch between: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) to press gains; BIL (T‑Bills) for safety; or a hedge split in BIL/UVXY/VIXY (volatility funds that jump in selloffs). It reads simple gauges: RSI (0–100 “heat” score), quick drops/rebounds, price vs 25‑day average, and bond‑vs‑stock strength using QQQ, SPY, BND, TMF, IEF, TLT. Hot/chaotic → hedge; clear uptrend or washed‑out selloff → TQQQ; shaky → BIL. Exposure: big‑tech, Treasuries, VIX.
Out-of-sample edge: ~23% annualized return vs SPY ~22%. Tactical shifts between leveraged Nasdaq exposure and hedges aim to ride rallies and protect in downturns. Higher upside, but expect larger drawdowns in crisis periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 1.11 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 761.09% | 15.8% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.96 | |
| 5,124,328.91% | 109.38% | -12.61% | 18.4% | 1.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$512,442,891.06Regulatory Fees
$1,233,995.93
Total Slippage
$11,870,443.21
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged, tactical allocation, momentum, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, bonds vs stocks, daily rebalance, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks