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TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily tactical, rule-based strategy that toggles exposure to TQQQ (a 3x Nasdaq-100 ETF) vs. hedges/cash/bonds using RSI, momentum, volatility, and bond-versus-stock signals, with UVXY replaced by VXX for volatility hedging. It seeks upside in calm markets and risk reduction during stress via multi-asset, multi-signal checks.
NutHow it works
- The system re-evaluates every trading day and decides whether to tilt toward TQQQ (a 3x leveraged Nasdaq-100 ETF) or to hedge/hold cash/bonds. - The core decision hinges on multiple signals, including: • A short-term momentum/overbought check: the 10-day RSI of TQQQ compared to a high threshold (e.g., above 79). If this is true, the strategy considers hedging paths. • A volatility/market-stress check: conditions around the VXX (volatility proxy) and the recent return history of TQQQ (cumulative returns over short windows) to flag “Huge volatility” regimes. • A mean-reversion bond signal: a “BondSignal” that weighs bond behavior (e.g., BND, IEF, TMF, TLT, BIL) against stock proxies (e.g., SPY, QQQ) to assess whether bonds should dominate the current allocation. • Normal market checks: using short-term cash proxies (BIL) and bond proxies to gauge whether risk is low enough to hold more stock exposure. • Additional cross-asset filters: moving-average comparisons (current price vs a moving average), standard-deviation/volatility checks, and drawdown checks (e.g., max drawdown windows like 10–252 days) to time entries/exits. - TQQQ exposure is not a static 100% bet. The code shows weighted branches (e.g., 85/100 or 50/100) depending on the regime and signals, sometimes allocating to cash or bonds, sometimes routing to the volatility hedge (VXX) or to a stock proxy (TQQQ/QQQ) based on the interplay of signals. - The top-of-file name notes “Replace UVXY w/ VXX,” reflecting a shift from one volatility instrument to another, with the same intent of hedging risk when volatility spikes. - The result is a dynamic, regime-aware tilt: aim for upside when risk is low and momentum supports TQQQ, and shift toward hedges and safer assets when volatility or unfavorable signals dominate. - Important caveats: levered ETFs can underperform in choppy markets, hedges may not perfectly offset risk, and the exact outcomes depend on parameter choices and market regime duration.
CheckmarkValue prop
Dynamic, regime-aware strategy that tilts toward TQQQ in calm markets and hedges risk in volatility. Out-of-sample: ~38.7% annualized return vs SPY's 22.8%, with diversified risk controls—though drawdowns can be larger in stress periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
1.10.970.120.34
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
172.29%13.1%-1.77%0.2%0.73
723,022.94%197.97%-1.65%-6.11%2.25
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$72,312,294.41
Regulatory Fees
$228,044.35
Total Slippage
$1,626,626.95
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, volatility hedging, tactical allocation, risk management, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX" is currently allocated toBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX" has returned 32.03%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX" is 45.17%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.