TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily “TQQQ or cash” strategy with short bursts into VXX/UVXY. It buys TQQQ when trend/momentum favor it, steps to T‑Bills when drops or bond turbulence appear, and uses volatility products when TQQQ looks overheated or after crashes.
Each day it picks one holding: TQQQ (triple‑Nasdaq), VXX/UVXY (bets on a volatility spike), or BIL (T‑Bills/cash). It uses RSI (a “too hot/too cold” meter), recent drops, and a 25‑day trend filter. If TQQQ looks overheated, it hedges with VXX. After big plunges, it may grab volatility (UVXY) or buy the dip; otherwise it parks in BIL. Bond ETFs act as risk filters. Note: TQQQ/UVXY are very volatile; high‑risk.
Three-state tactical strategy: Nasdaq-100 tilt with 3x leverage, volatility hedges, and cash. Out-of-sample return ~38.7% annualized vs SPY ~22.8%; higher upside, but larger drawdowns (~45% vs ~19%). Upside potential with acknowledged risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 0.97 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.11% | 13.45% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.75 | |
| 764,179.43% | 201.46% | 5.48% | -5.53% | 2.27 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$76,427,942.71Regulatory Fees
$221,990.82
Total Slippage
$1,583,260.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks