TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules-based switcher: mostly TQQQ in uptrends or after oversold dips; cash (BIL) when risk is high; briefly uses VXX/UVXY in extreme conditions. Heavy exposure to big‑tech via the Nasdaq‑100.
Goal: ride big‑tech upswings with TQQQ (a 3x Nasdaq‑100 fund), sidestep selloffs, and sometimes hedge with volatility funds.
- “Heat gauge” (RSI 0–100): too hot (>~79) → buy VXX (vol hedge); too cold (<~32) → buy TQQQ.
- After very sharp 1–6 day moves, briefly use UVXY/VXX.
- In calm uptrends (price > 25‑day avg) → TQQQ.
- If selloffs or bond/stock risk gauges worsen → park in BIL (T‑Bills).
Out-of-sample: 36.5% annualized return vs 22.8% for the S&P, driven by a tech-heavy, trend-following approach. Uses cash and brief volatility hedges to guard spikes. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns (~45% vs 19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | 0.98 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214.14% | 14.37% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 0.8 | |
| 877,822.3% | 190.16% | 15.87% | -9.45% | 2.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$87,792,229.83Regulatory Fees
$219,309.18
Total Slippage
$2,094,118.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks