TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ SOXS
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily switch that goes offensive with TQQQ in uptrends or deep dips, defensive with T‑bills when risk looks high, and contrarian with SOXS when tech looks overheated (and sometimes UVXY in chaos)—using simple “hot/cold,” trend, and bond‑stress gauges.
Each day it rotates among: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100 tech), SOXS (3x inverse semiconductors), UVXY (volatility), or BIL (T‑bills). If Nasdaq’s short‑term “hot/cold” score (RSI, 0–100) is very hot, it shorts chips (SOXS). After big drops, it may bet on volatility (UVXY) or buy the dip (TQQQ). Otherwise it checks trend (above 25‑day average) and bond stress to choose TQQQ or cash.
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~49.6% vs SPY ~22.4%, Calmar ~1.10. A disciplined daily rotation across leveraged tech, hedges, and cash targets higher upside with risk controls—though drawdowns can be larger in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | 1.09 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 5,372,553.75% | 113.27% | 5.48% | -5.53% | 1.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$537,265,375.24Regulatory Fees
$1,504,186.93
Total Slippage
$10,799,723.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks