TQQQ or not | Pop | SVXY 4TLT (AR 178.0% DD 27.2% from 2012)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A dynamic, rule-based, regime-switching strategy that toggles between leveraged tech bets (like TQQQ/QQQ) with volatility hedges (UVXY) and safer/bond/cash positions (BIL, TMF) based on momentum signals. It uses layered groups (Pop, QQQ Double Pop Bot, Bond Market Check) to decide which regime to fund, aiming for strong upside in uptrends and risk containment in downturns.
In plain terms, the system watches a handful of big ETFs for momentum. If the tech-heavy bets (like QQQ or a 3x-ETF tied to tech) look strong and volatility isn’t screaming danger, it tends to put most or all money into those leveraged tech bets, often with hedges like UVXY to capture volatility spikes. If momentum fades or risk signals hit high levels, it shifts toward hedges or safer bets (like short-term Treasuries or cash proxies such as BIL). The decision tree has labeled groups (Pop, QQQ Double Pop Bot, SMH Double Pop Bot, Bond Market Check, etc.) that categorize different market conditions and set the allocation to one dominant branch. Within each chosen branch, weights are allocated evenly among the included assets (wt-cash-equal) or as a fixed split, effectively turning the whole position into a single regime rather than a diversified mix across many regimes at once. Signals include momentum checks (RSI-like tests), cumulative returns, and price versus moving averages on key tickers (e.g., QQQ, TQQQ, SPY) and risk checks using bond and cash proxies (BIL, TMF, IEF, TLT). The intended outcome is to ride uptrends in tech while preserving capital in downturns through hedges and safer assets.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.54 and annualized return ~75.8% vs SPY ~22.6%, with Calmar ~2.05—delivering stronger risk-adjusted upside; note drawdowns ~37% in downturns from leveraged tech exposure and hedging.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | 1.25 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509.82% | 13.88% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.86 | |
| 84,116,328.82% | 166.6% | -4.08% | 3.78% | 2.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,411,642,881.66Regulatory Fees
$16,142,343.69
Total Slippage
$116,075,462.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged-tech momentum, volatility hedging, tactical asset allocation, trend following, bond/cash regime
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks