TQQQ or not | Pop | SVXY 4TLT (AR 178.0% DD 27.2% from 2012)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Three-sleeve, rules-based system. Buys tech/semis on dips, shorts or hedges after sharp pops, and harvests calm via SVXY unless fear rises—using RSI, volatility, and bond-trend filters. Very high risk (uses 3× and VIX ETFs); often parks in cash.
Your money is split into 3 rule sets:
1) “TQQQ‑or‑not”: buys 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ) after pullbacks, parks in T‑Bills (BIL) or hedges with UVXY after big spikes; bond trends (TLT/IEF/BND) act as brakes.
2) “Pop”: contrarian swings in QQQ/semis (SOXL/SOXS) using RSI—an overbought/oversold score from 0–100.
3) “SVXY 4TLT”: holds SVXY (short fear) in calm markets; flips to UVXY (long fear) or buys oversold 3× stock ETFs when risks flash.
Out-of-sample, this tri-sleeve strategy delivers ~76% annualized return vs ~23% for the S&P, with Sharpe ~1.54 vs ~1.42. Higher drawdowns (~37% vs ~19%) but much higher upside and disciplined risk gates.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | 1.25 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.42% | 13.89% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 84,232,215.66% | 166.55% | -3.94% | 6.1% | 2.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,423,231,565.87Regulatory Fees
$16,142,343.69
Total Slippage
$116,075,462.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility etfs, mean reversion, trend filter, tactical allocation, tech-heavy, semiconductors, risk-on/risk-off, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks