TQQQ or Not - Non-Degen Gambler Variant
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule‑based on/off switch for TQQQ: buy during healthy trends or washed‑out selloffs, and park in T‑Bills when TQQQ is overheated, volatility spikes, or bond signals flag rate stress. Tech‑heavy, risk‑managed, daily‑checked.
Daily it flips between TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) and BIL (T‑Bills). Buys TQQQ if the Nasdaq trend is up or after sharp drops when it looks washed‑out (RSI = hot/cold score). Stays in cash when it’s overheated, drops are large, or bond signals show stress.
Tickers: TQQQ=growth; BIL=cash; QQQ/SPY=stock trend; BND/IEF/TLT/TMF=bond strength/volatility (rates). Filters: price vs 25‑day average; recent fall from peak (drawdown); 6‑day/1‑day moves.
Out-of-sample: 27.7% annualized return vs SPY 23.2%, but larger drawdowns (35.5% vs 18.8%). Adaptive risk controls shift to safety when needed, aiming to capture tech upside via TQQQ while delivering solid risk-adjusted growth (Calmar ~0.78) for long-horizon investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 1.43 | 0.37 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 757.14% | 14.27% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.86 | |
| 477,919.83% | 69.19% | 15.03% | 9.59% | 1.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$47,801,983.16Regulatory Fees
$124,296.75
Total Slippage
$876,035.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum,mean reversion,volatility filter,nasdaq 100,leveraged etf,risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks