TQQQ or not | + Dash of SQQQ - Deez
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Aggressive tech timer: rides uptrends with TQQQ, buys volatility (UVXY) on shock days, and hides in T‑bills + short Nasdaq (SQQQ) when stress lights flash, using simple heat/trend gauges and bond/yield‑curve warnings.
It switches among three modes:
- Risk‑on: 100% TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) when trend is up (QQQ above its 25‑day average) or after sharp sell‑offs when a 10‑day RSI “heat meter” says oversold.
- Panic: if tech is extremely hot (RSI ~80+) or a huge up day follows a big drop, buy UVXY (volatility).
- Defensive: 60% BIL (T‑Bills) + 40% SQQQ (short Nasdaq) when recent drops, bond turmoil, weak stock “heat,” or bond warnings flash. Bond checks compare SPY vs BND and IEF vs TLT (inverted‑curve proxy). RSI=0–100 heat; MA=25‑day avg; drawdown=drop from a recent peak.
Out-of-sample: 18.0% vs SPY 22.3%; Sharpe 0.58 vs 1.40; max drawdown 46.5% vs 18.8%. A regime-tuned tech tilt with volatility hedges and bond signals—designed to diversify and add tech-driven upside, not replace the S&P.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged nasdaq timing, momentum + mean reversion, volatility hedge, defensive cash+short, bond/yield-curve signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks