TQQQ or not | + Dash of SQQQ - Deez
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A multi-regime, multi-asset strategy that blends volatility hedges, leveraged tech exposure, momentum, mean reversion, and a bond-overlay to navigate big swings and varying risk regimes.
The strategy runs through a cascade of signals to decide what to own. It looks for four things at once: (1) Huge volatility: if market fear is high (short-term momentum indicators on growth bets rise sharply), it shifts toward volatility hedges (UVXY/SQQQ) to profit from swings or protect holdings. (2) Mean reversion: if a short-term momentum gauge on tech stocks shows overbought/oversold extremes, it uses a reversion expectation to tilt toward the opposite side (e.g., loading into the tech leverages or stepping toward the broader market). (3) Momentum with a 25-day trend: if price is above its 25-day moving average, it tends to tilt toward the growth tilt (TQQQ/QQQ). (4) BondSignal: it also watches whether bonds look stronger than stocks and whether the yield-curve picture is inverted; when bonds appear stronger, it shifts toward bond ETFs (BND/IEF/TLT), otherwise it favors stock exposure. The model uses a mix of 10-day RSI thresholds, 25-day price trends, and comparative strength checks between stock and bond proxies to decide among several paths: Huge Volatility path (UVXY), Mean Rev path (TQQQ with counterbalancing checks), Normal Market path (stock exposure balanced with cash or hedges), and BondSignal path (bond tilt). Cash is typically represented by BIL, and there are hedging legs (SQQQ) and occasional long-bond or short-bond accents (BND, IEF, TLT, TMF). The system does not rebalance daily; it uses a 0.2-width corridor to avoid churn and relies on the decision tree to move capital among the listed ETFs when signals trigger. Bottom line: it aims to capture upside in tech during favorable regimes, manage risk during spikes with volatility hedges, and lean into bonds when macro signals imply stock risk is rising.
Regime-aware, multi-asset strategy blending tech tilt, volatility hedges, and bond overlay. OOS return ~18%; Sharpe ~0.58 vs SPY ~1.40; max drawdown ~47% vs ~19%. Diversified with tail-risk protection in stress regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 19,511,538.98% | 132.79% | -2.35% | -7.89% | 1.84 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,951,163,898.20Regulatory Fees
$6,916,490.32
Total Slippage
$49,733,423.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility, bond overlay, multi-asset, momentum, mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks