TQQQ or not
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily rules-based switch that mainly rides TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) in uptrends or after selloffs, hides in BIL (T-bills) when risk is high, and sometimes flips to UVXY (volatility) at extremes. Other ETFs are used only as signals.
Daily picks one: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100), BIL (T-bills/cash-like), or UVXY (volatility that jumps in panics).
RSI = a 0-100 gauge of how stretched price is (high=hot, low=cold).
If TQQQ is extremely hot, flip to UVXY. If it plunged, buy TQQQ when oversold; on huge one-day snapbacks use UVXY; else use BIL if bond stress is high.
Otherwise: hold TQQQ when price > 25-day average; go to BIL on stock/bond drops. QQQ/SPY/BND/IEF/TLT/TMF are signal ETFs only.
Out-of-sample annual return ~39.5% vs S&P ~22.4%, Sharpe ~0.97, Calmar ~0.87. A trend/mean-reversion strategy using UVXY and BIL hedges aims for stronger upside with disciplined risk control compared with the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged nasdaq, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks