TQQQ or not
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily rules-based switch that mainly rides TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100) in uptrends or after selloffs, hides in BIL (T-bills) when risk is high, and sometimes flips to UVXY (volatility) at extremes. Other ETFs are used only as signals.
Daily picks one: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100), BIL (T-bills/cash-like), or UVXY (volatility that jumps in panics).
RSI = a 0-100 gauge of how stretched price is (high=hot, low=cold).
If TQQQ is extremely hot, flip to UVXY. If it plunged, buy TQQQ when oversold; on huge one-day snapbacks use UVXY; else use BIL if bond stress is high.
Otherwise: hold TQQQ when price > 25-day average; go to BIL on stock/bond drops. QQQ/SPY/BND/IEF/TLT/TMF are signal ETFs only.
Out-of-sample annual return ~39.5% vs S&P ~22.4%, Sharpe ~0.97, Calmar ~0.87. A trend/mean-reversion strategy using UVXY and BIL hedges aims for stronger upside with disciplined risk control compared with the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | 1.02 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 41,660,518.02% | 145.91% | 5.48% | -5.53% | 2.01 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,166,061,802.27Regulatory Fees
$11,880,718.80
Total Slippage
$85,439,792.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged nasdaq, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks