TQQQ On Or Off
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Risk switch for leveraged tech. In calm uptrends it puts 75% in 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ). If stocks are choppy it moves to long Treasuries or market volatility with some Treasury ballast. If even safe bonds trend down, it uses a hedged mix.
Checks: If short‑term Treasuries trend down, hold a hedged trio sized to the calmest (rising‑rates bet, small tech long, tech short). If stocks are very jumpy, put 75% in what’s working now—market volatility or long‑term Treasuries—and 25% in mid‑term Treasuries. Otherwise, go 75% into a 3x tech fund (TQQQ) when stocks trend up, or split between a regular tech fund and a 2x S&P 500 fund when they don’t. Trades only when rules flip.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~47.5% vs SPY 24.4%, Calmar ~0.99 indicates solid risk-adjusted upside; regime-based hedging aims to protect in turbulence, though max drawdown can be ~48% (vs SPY ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 1.41 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 588.13% | 13.58% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 77,578.33% | 55.17% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,767,832.90Regulatory Fees
$5,913.08
Total Slippage
$37,272.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, risk-on/off, leveraged etfs, tech-heavy, volatility, treasuries, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks