TQQQ Moving Averages
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
A trend‑and‑fear switcher for the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100. It uses 3× long TQQQ, flips to 3× inverse SQQQ on fear spikes or breakdowns, and parks in T‑bills (BIL) when trends are weak. QQQ is used only to read a cleaner 50‑day trend.
Chooses among four funds tied to the Nasdaq‑100: TQQQ (3× long), SQQQ (3× inverse), QQQ (signal only), and BIL (T‑bills).
• If TQQQ is above its 200‑day average, hold TQQQ unless fear is spiking—seen via VIXY (a volatility fund); if VIXY’s RSI (0–100 speed‑of‑rise gauge) >70, hold SQQQ.
• If below the 200‑day: short with SQQQ when the 3‑day average is above the 200‑day; otherwise hold TQQQ if QQQ is above its 50‑day, or BIL if not.
Out-of-sample: Nasdaq‑100 momentum with 3x leverage and a fear hedge aims for higher upside. It delivers ~60% annualized return vs ~23% for the S&P, with Sharpe ~1.23 and Calmar ~1.74. Higher upside but ~35% max drawdown vs ~19% SPY—higher risk, higher potential reward.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.55 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589.52% | 13.66% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.83 | |
| 30,696.85% | 46.23% | -4.46% | -18.82% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,079,685.09Regulatory Fees
$1,846.49
Total Slippage
$11,208.48
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Nasdaq-100, trend-following, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, market timing, risk management