TQQQ Market Crash Protection V2
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Ride tech uptrends with TQQQ; when the market looks too hot, park in bonds and a volatility hedge. In downtrends, hold 70% short‑term bonds and use 30% to tactically buy oversold rebounds or go short (SQQQ) until strength returns.
1) If SPY > its 200‑day avg (uptrend), hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). If very hot (10‑day RSI: TQQQ>79 or SPXL>80), switch to 50% BSV (short bonds) + 50% UVXY (volatility).
2) If SPY ≤ 200‑day avg (downtrend), keep 70% BSV. Use 30% to: buy rebounds (TECL if TQQQ RSI<31; else SPXL if SPY RSI<30); otherwise follow short‑term trend (TQQQ if >20‑day avg; else pick stronger of SQQQ or BSV). RSI=0–100 heat score.
Regime-switching, tech-tilted strategy that rides uptrends with leverage and hedges extremes, delivering out-of-sample return of 66.6% vs 20.6% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.30 vs 1.23, Calmar ~1.61; strong risk-adjusted performance across regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | 1.61 | 0.33 | 0.57 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 549,828.57% | 81.74% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$54,992,856.71Regulatory Fees
$37,020.17
Total Slippage
$256,834.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 19, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, crash protection, tactical, leveraged etfs, tech/nasdaq tilt, volatility hedge, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type