TQQQ FTLT w/Sideways Market Mods (FINAL)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based tactical strategy that uses momentum and trend signals to select among Nasdaq/tech-leveraged ETFs, with explicit sideways-market deleveraging rules and cash protection to manage risk.
- Every day, the model looks at a menu of ETFs tied to Nasdaq-100, technology, semiconductors, Dow, and broad-market indices, including some inverse/volatility options.
- It uses momentum signals (RSI) to gauge whether an asset has recent strength or is oversold/overbought, and it uses price vs. a long-term moving average to judge the market’s trend (is it generally going up or not).
- When signals agree that there is a clear uptrend, the system tends to place a bigger, often leveraged, long exposure to participation assets like TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO, or QQQ, sometimes with targeted weights (e.g., 40% of the risk budget to a single asset) while keeping the rest in cash or other hedges.
- If signals suggest a choppy or down regime (sideways market or Nasdaq weakness), the system leans toward deleveraging, shifting toward cash, or into less volatile assets and inverse hedges (like SQQQ or PSQ).
- It incorporates multi-layer checks (e.g., top momentum picks, market breadth via RSI, cross-checks with S&P/QQQ price relative to moving averages) to decide which asset to own and how much to own, and it rebalances daily based on the latest data.
- The design includes explicit risk-reduction blocks labeled for de-leveraging in Nasdaq-dominant crash territory and sideways-market conditions, reinforcing capital preservation during uncertain periods.
- The overall intent is to capture momentum-driven upside with a built-in capability to step back quickly if the market ceases to trend or shows high risk; this comes at the cost of more frequent trading and higher complexity than a simple buy-and-hold strategy.
Out-of-sample, this tactical momentum strategy offers superior risk-adjusted gains vs the S&P: Sharpe ~1.43 vs 1.42; Calmar ~1.65; annualized return ~95% vs ~23%. It hedges and de-risks in chop while riding tech uptrends.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | 1.85 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570.79% | 14.38% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 183,082,378.6% | 176.82% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$18,308,247,859.94Regulatory Fees
$16,352,059.86
Total Slippage
$117,607,199.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 18, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged-etfs, momentum-based, tactical-asset-allocation, risk-management, regime-switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks