TQQQ FTLT with Volatility BSC - long backtesting
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A momentum-driven, 3x-levered ETF strategy that rides tech/QQQ bets (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO) while using volatility/inverse hedges (UVXY, VIXY, SQQQ, SPXU) to guard against drawdowns. It blends RSI/momentum, moving averages, and selective top-picks, with Dip Buy entries and Bull/Bear logic guiding exposure; backtested with no fixed rebalancing.
A rule-based ladder of signals decides which 3x leveraged ETF to own (primarily TQQQ, TECL, SOXL) and when to hedge with volatility or inverse assets (UVXY, VIXY, SQQQ, SPXU). The strategy toggles between Bull Market logic (aggressive long bets on tech/QQQ-related assets) and Bear Market logic (hedges and defensive plays) based on momentum indicators (notably RSI) and price versus moving averages. It also includes a Dip Buy mechanism to try to add positions after short-term pullbacks, aiming to catch persistent uptrends while risk controls kick in when volatility rises or momentum reverses. Weights are typically all-in on a single asset when a signal fires, or split across a couple of assets in more complex branches. Rebalancing is not periodic but signal-driven, and the setup is backtested with historical data to estimate performance under those rules. RSI explains how overbought/oversold readings guide entries and exits; top-picking sorts candidates by momentum or recent performance to pick the best candidate within a group. The strategy uses familiar tickers (QQQ, SPY, TQQQ, UPRO, SQQQ, UVXY, VIXY, SOXL, TECL, TMF, USDU, SPXU) to build exposure. Important: levered and inverse funds amplify moves and can suffer from decay during volatile periods; live results can differ from backtests.
High-risk, 3x-levered tech strategy with hedges aims for big rallies. But out-of-sample results show underperformance vs the S&P and large drawdowns, so use as a risk-tolerant satellite, not core.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | 0.52 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347.28% | 13.12% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 10,669,053.39% | 159.22% | -6.16% | 8.94% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,066,915,339.15Regulatory Fees
$8,078,097.25
Total Slippage
$58,070,342.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 26, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, trend following, multi-asset allocation, backtesting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks