TQQQ FTLT with Volatility BSC - long backtesting
Today’s Change (Apr 11, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑based, tech‑led swing strategy. It rides uptrends with leveraged stock ETFs and a short‑vol sleeve, hedges when fear spikes, buys selective dips, and shifts to bonds, dollar, or defensive stocks during selloffs.
- First, check trend: is SPY above its 200‑day average? If yes = uptrend; if not = downtrend.
- Check “heat” (RSI = how overbought/oversold) and “fear” (VIX via UVXY/VIXY).
- Calm uptrends: ~67% in the strongest of TQQQ/SOXL/TECL/UPRO/UDOW (3x tech/US stock ETFs) and ~33% in SVXY (benefits when fear fades).
- If the market gets too hot, hedge with UVXY or SQQQ/SPXU.
- Weak/sideways: cut risk to PSQ or steadier SPY/QQQ/XLP; deep selloffs: rotate to TMF (long bonds), USDU (USD), VIXY.
- Sharp dips: buy TECL/SOXL/TQQQ only when very oversold.
Out-of-sample results show SPY outperforms: this strategy delivers negative annualized return, far larger drawdowns, and minimal risk-adjusted gains. Not compelling vs SPY—only a niche hedging/diversification role for sophisticated traders.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 0.73 | 0.04 | 0.2 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354.28% | 13.18% | 0.61% | -1.99% | 0.8 | |
| 36,041,090.79% | 184.87% | 61.18% | 48.66% | 1.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,604,119,078.63Regulatory Fees
$9,930,037.19
Total Slippage
$71,391,710.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 26, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, hedging, vix, risk management, tech growth, swing trading
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks