A very aggressive market-timing strategy that usually bets on big U.S. tech through TQQQ, but switches to volatility, bearish Nasdaq exposure, or short-term bonds when trend or momentum signals turn risky.

This strategy first asks: is the U.S. stock market healthy? It checks whether the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200-day average price, a common “uptrend or downtrend” test. If yes, it usually buys TQQQ, an aggressive fund that aims to magnify moves in the Nasdaq-100 (big tech-heavy companies). But before doing that, it runs many “too hot / danger” checks using RSI, which is a simple gauge of whether prices have risen so fast that they may be overextended. If several market areas look overheated—or if market fear is behaving unusually—it switches to UVXY, a fund tied to stock-market volatility that often jumps during panic. If the market is not in a healthy long-term uptrend, the strategy becomes more tactical. It may still buy leveraged stock funds after sharp selloffs, but otherwise it checks short-term trend: if TQQQ is above its 20-day average, it owns TQQQ; if not, it chooses between SQQQ (which rises when the Nasdaq falls) and BSV (short-term bonds) based on which has stronger recent momentum. In short: this is a fast-moving, high-risk strategy that mostly tries to ride big tech upward, but it has several escape hatches into volatility, bearish exposure, or bonds when conditions look dangerous.

Out-of-sample, this aggressive timing strategy targets tech-led rallies with ~72% annualized return vs SPY (S&P 500) ~17%, Sharpe ~1.12, Calmar ~1.35. It hedges during panics, but drawdowns can be larger (~53%).