TQQQ FTLT using KMLM before going full leverage V2
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A one‑ETF, trend‑timed strategy using RSI and moving averages. It rotates among 3x tech (TQQQ/TECL), 3x S&P (UPRO), short tech (SQQQ), Treasuries (TLT) or volatility (UVXY). Tech vs KMLM decides risk‑on vs defensive in each market regime.
Owns one ETF at a time: mainly 3x tech (TQQQ/TECL), sometimes 3x S&P (UPRO), short tech (SQQQ), long Treasuries (TLT) or volatility (UVXY).
RSI (0–100) = short‑term “hot/cold.” Moving average = average of past prices.
If the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day avg: buy UVXY if it’s red‑hot; else hold TQQQ if tech beats KMLM, or SQQQ if KMLM is stronger.
If below: buy oversold bounces (TECL/UPRO); otherwise choose SQQQ or TLT (leaning to SQQQ when KMLM > tech). KMLM tracks trend‑following across non‑stock markets and acts as a risk‑off compass.
Out-of-sample, this trend-timed, regime-switching strategy aims for high risk-adjusted gains (~63% annualized, Calmar ~2.08, Sharpe ~1.08), with a tech tilt and dynamic risk signals designed to outperform SPY while managing drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | -0.03 | 0 | -0.01 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.2% | 13.43% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 88,008.5% | 269.68% | -1.11% | -2.82% | 2.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,810,849.75Regulatory Fees
$13,207.37
Total Slippage
$90,513.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,tactical allocation,leveraged etfs,momentum,relative strength,risk-on/risk-off,volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks