TQQQ FTLT using KMLM before going full leverage V2
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk, rule-based system that uses 3x ETFs with momentum and trend checks, hedges, and cash to chase up moves while trying to limit drawdowns.
The strategy mostly trades 3x ETFs (like TQQQ, SPXL, TECL, UPRO) to capture strong up moves, but it only does so when momentum and trend checks look favorable. It uses RSI (a momentum gauge) on several assets with a 10-day lookback to decide entries. A check on SPY versus its 200-day average screens for overall market strength before increasing risk. It may temporarily hedge with inverse or volatility ETFs (SQQQ, UVXY) or move into bonds (TLT) to reduce risk. There is a built-in mechanism to compare momentum of one asset to a threshold (KMLM) and to pick the top momentum candidate within a group. If signals are weak, the system stays in cash. When signals are strongly positive, it shifts toward full leverage. It’s a complex, rule-based system that aims to balance upside capture with risk controls, but it can suffer large drawdowns in choppy markets due to high leverage and multiple moving parts.
Out-of-sample shows ~63% annualized return vs ~19% for the S&P, with solid risk-adjusted metrics (Sharpe ~1.08, Calmar ~2.08). Leveraged ETFs, hedges, and cash seek bigger upside with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | -0.03 | 0 | -0.01 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.7% | 13.38% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.83 | |
| 89,302.95% | 271.09% | 0.34% | 4.11% | 2.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,940,295.36Regulatory Fees
$13,207.37
Total Slippage
$90,513.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leverage, momentum, trend-following, etf-based, multi-asset, risk-management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks