TQQQ FTLT OVERFIT (255.2% RR/46.4% Max DD)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
An aggressive market-timing strategy that mostly chases leveraged tech in good times, but flips into volatility, inverse Nasdaq, or bonds when markets look weak, overheated, or fearful.
This strategy first asks: is the U.S. stock market generally healthy or weak? It uses SPY (the S&P 500 fund) compared with its 200-day average to decide.
In strong markets, it usually bets heavily on TQQQ, a fund that magnifies moves in the Nasdaq, with a small extra bet on semiconductor stocks through SOXL. But if the market looks too overheated, it switches to UVXY, a fund that tends to jump when fear and volatility surge.
In weak markets, it becomes more defensive or more tactical. It may buy oversold tech or market funds for a bounce, switch into SQQQ to bet against the Nasdaq, hold UVXY during fear spikes, or hide in bonds (BSV, TMF) or dividend stocks (SCHD).
In plain English: it is an aggressive market-timing system that tries to ride strong tech rallies, dodge crashes, and sometimes profit from panic.
Out-of-sample edge: ~71% annualized return vs SPY ~19.7%, Sharpe ~1.19, Calmar ~1.40. A regime-switching system that rides tech rallies, hedges volatility, and rotates into bonds/dividends to cushion drawdowns—higher upside with disciplined risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum, mean reversion, volatility trading, tech-heavy, regime switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks