TQQQ FTLT OVERFIT (255.2% RR/46.4% Max DD)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
An aggressive market‑timer: rides 3× tech in uptrends, flips to volatility, bonds, or short tech in stress. Uses simple “heat” (RSI) and trend lines to switch. Very high risk, large swings; designed for traders who understand leveraged/volatility ETFs.
1) Check if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (the long‑term trend line).
2) If uptrend: hold mostly 3× tech (TQQQ + some SOXL). If the market looks “too hot” (RSI ≈ 80+), briefly flip to a volatility fund (UVXY).
3) If downtrend: rotate using short‑term signals among: 3× tech/S&P on deep dips (RSI ≈ 30), volatility (UVXY), 3× long Treasuries (TMF), inverse 3× tech (SQQQ), or short‑term bonds (BSV). RSI = 0–100 “heat”; 20/200‑day averages = trend lines.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.42 vs SPY ~1.31; Calmar ~1.87. Tech-heavy upside with volatility hedges aims for superior risk-adjusted returns; but expect larger drawdowns (up to ~50%), suitable for risk-tolerant investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 1.53 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 595.36% | 14.53% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 1,123,704,106.31% | 211.27% | 4.28% | -7.66% | 2.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$112,370,420,631.03Regulatory Fees
$74,053,248.18
Total Slippage
$532,453,367.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend + momentum, volatility timing, regime filter, tech-heavy, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks