TQQQ FTLT OVERFIT (255.2% RR/46.4% Max DD)
Today’s Change (Mar 20, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, tech‑heavy timing strategy. Uses 200‑day/20‑day trends and a 0–100 “heat” gauge (RSI) to ride TQQQ/SOXL in uptrends, flip to SQQQ or UVXY in stress, or hide in bonds/dividends (BSV/TMF/SCHD). High risk with big swings.
Step 1: Check if SPY (S&P 500) is above its 200‑day average (risk‑on). If yes and short‑term “heat” (RSI 0–100) is extreme in TQQQ/SPY, hold UVXY (volatility). Otherwise hold about 90% TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) and 10% SOXL (3x semis). If risk‑off, buy oversold rebounds (TECL/UPRO), or when fear (UVXY) spikes move to BSV (short bonds) or TMF/SCHD. Else rotate among TQQQ, SQQQ (3x inverse), TMF, or BSV using 20‑day trend and RSI.
Out-of-sample, this strategy outperforms the S&P on risk-adjusted and absolute terms: OOS return ~95% vs ~21% SPY, Sharpe ~1.42 vs ~1.31, Calmar ~1.87. Note: max drawdown ~51% vs ~19% due to tech exposure and hedging.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 1.53 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 573.4% | 14.23% | -3.61% | -3.05% | 0.88 | |
| 1,045,430,878.31% | 208.73% | -8.15% | -9.23% | 2.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$104,543,097,830.67Regulatory Fees
$74,053,248.18
Total Slippage
$532,453,367.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical market timing, leveraged etfs, tech-heavy, trend and mean-reversion, volatility hedging, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks