TQQQ FTLT OVERFIT (255.2% RR/46.4% Max DD)
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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About
Rules-based swing strategy in leveraged ETFs. If the S&P 500 trends up, ride tech (≈90% TQQQ + 10% SOXL) unless it looks too “hot,” then switch to UVXY. In downtrends it flips among tech, short QQQ, volatility, or bonds using short-term “hot/cold” signals. Very high risk.
Checks trend, then uses short‑term “heat” to flip among assets.
- Trend: is SPY above its 200‑day average (long‑term trend line)?
- If yes: hold ~90% TQQQ + 10% SOXL unless hot; then use UVXY.
- If no: hunt oversold bounces (TECL/UPRO) or rotate among UVXY, SQQQ, TQQQ, TMF, BSV, SCHD using RSI (0–100 “hot/cold”) and TQQQ’s 20‑day trend.
Tickers: TQQQ/TECL/UPRO=3x long tech/S&P; SOXL=3x semis; SQQQ=3x short tech; UVXY=VIX futures; TMF=3x Treasuries; BSV=bonds; SCHD=dividends.
Out-of-sample: annualized return ~92.5% vs SPY ~20.6%, Sharpe ~1.40 vs 1.31, Calmar ~1.82. A tech-led, rules-based strategy with strong risk-adjusted gains and hedges—seeking outsized upside with disciplined risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 1.51 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.92% | 14.79% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.91 | |
| 1,225,350,747.29% | 216.38% | 8.9% | 11.34% | 2.05 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$122,535,084,728.90Regulatory Fees
$74,053,412.82
Total Slippage
$532,454,503.97
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs,tactical allocation,trend following,momentum/rsi,mean reversion,volatility hedge,bonds,tech-heavy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks