TQQQ FTLT + KMLM < 20MA KMLM
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Single‑ETF, rules‑based swing strategy. Uses SPY’s long‑term trend, short‑term “too hot/too cold” checks, and KMLM’s trend as a tiebreaker to flip between aggressive tech/semis, inverse tech, or volatility (UVXY). High risk, fast‑moving.
Step 1: Is SPY (S&P 500 fund) above its 200‑day average? If yes and short‑term “heat” is extreme (RSI: a 0–100 speedometer), jump to UVXY (volatility). If not, use KMLM’s 20‑day trend (a managed‑futures fund used as a market gauge): weak → buy SOXL (3× semis); strong → PSQ (−1× Nasdaq). If SPY is below its 200‑day: if very “cold,” buy TECL or UPRO (3× tech/S&P); else KMLM weak → SOXL, strong → TECS (−3× tech).
Out-of-sample data show this regime-switching strategy underperforms the S&P 500 (-1.9% vs 18.6%) and suffers deep drawdowns (up to 62.6%). Best as a hedging sleeve with tactical signals, not core equity exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | 1.28 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.55% | 14.33% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.87 | |
| 102,304.27% | 286.91% | 30.48% | 73.7% | 2.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,240,427.30Regulatory Fees
$15,922.97
Total Slippage
$108,133.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend filter, momentum & mean‑reversion, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, volatility hedge, tech/semiconductors, managed‑futures signal
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks