TQQQ FTLT + -bk-I 8/13 200d LETF MA Risk On/Off
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, tech‑led trend follower. Loads into TQQQ/other 3x bulls when the long‑term trend is up, and quickly flips to cash, gold, dollar, Treasuries, or short QQQ when trends break or volatility spikes.
1) Check the big trend: above the 200‑day average = risk on; below = risk off. A moving average is just the average price over X days.
2) In risk on, ride winners (mainly TQQQ and other 3x bulls) if short‑term trend (8 vs 13‑day) is up and not “too hot.”
3) “Too hot/too cold” is measured with RSI, a 0–100 heat meter of recent gains. >80 = overheated (hedge or take cover), <30 = washed out (buy the dip).
4) If the Nasdaq weakens badly or goes sideways, de‑leverage, rotate to cash, gold, the U.S. dollar, defensive sectors, or short QQQ.
5) A bond sleeve flips between long Treasuries (when yields fall) and short Treasuries or long USD (when yields rise).
Out-of-sample, this tech-led trend strategy targets ~46% annualized returns vs SPY’s ~20%, supported by risk controls and a Calmar ≈1.02. Higher upside with larger drawdowns—designed for risk-tolerant investors seeking outsized gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 0.82 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154.42% | 14.94% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 458,890.91% | 251.58% | -0.2% | -0.49% | 2.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$45,899,090.90Regulatory Fees
$46,284.59
Total Slippage
$324,648.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, risk on/off, tech-focused, tactical rotation, interest-rate timing, volatility hedging, defensive overlays
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 96 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
ANGL
VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BKLN
Invesco Senior Loan ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks